NBA Finals Prediction

The NBA finals are a rematch of a year ago. They begin tomorrow night in San Antonio, with the top ranked Spurs hosting the Miami Heat who have won the last two NBA Championships.

I believe the San Antonio Spurs will avenge last year’s loss to the Heat (that series went seven games). There are two major reasons for my prediction of a Spurs’ victory this time around.

First they have great depth on their player roster. I believe they will gain points in those situations when the top players for both teams are on the bench, whether for rest or in foul trouble.

More telling will be not only that San Antonio has home advantage, but that it will be a 2-2-1-1-1 format: meaning games one and two in San Antonio, games three and four in Miami and two of the three “if necessary” games (five and seven) in San Antonio.

I like the change to this format after a 2-3-2 (first two at the higher ranked team, the next two and a potential fifth game at the lower ranked team and the potential last two games at the higher ranked team) was used from 1985-2013.

This year with a “2-2-1-1-1” format and superior depth, the Spurs will win in six games. The teams will split the first four games and having game five at home will propel the Spurs to wins in the next two games.